Clare
Ribando Seelke
Specialist in Latin American Affairs
The
United States and Mexico have a close and complex bilateral relationship as
neighbors and partners under the North American Free Trade Agreement
(NAFTA). Although security issues have recently dominated the U.S.
relationship with Mexico, analysts predict that bilateral relations may
shift toward economic matters once President-elect Enrique Peña Nieto takes office.
Peña Nieto of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) defeated leftist
Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) candidate Andrés Manuel López
Obrador and Josefina Vázquez Mota of the conservative National Action
Party (PAN) in Mexico’s July 1, 2012, presidential election. As a result,
the PRI, which controlled Mexico from 1929 to 2000, will retake the presidency
on December 1, 2012. Some analysts have raised concerns regarding the PRI’s
corrupt past and impending return to power, but President-elect Peña Nieto
has pledged to govern democratically and to forge cross-party alliances.
The outgoing PAN government of Felipe Calderón has pursued an aggressive anticrime
strategy and increased security cooperation with the United States. These
efforts have helped Mexico arrest or kill record numbers of drug kingpins,
but more than 55,000 people have died as a result of organized
crime-related violence since December 2006. Mexico’s ongoing security
challenges have overshadowed some of the Calderón government’s
achievements, including its successful economic stewardship during the
global financial crisis and expansion of healthcare coverage.
U.S. Policy
In recent years, U.S. policy toward Mexico has been framed by security
cooperation under the Mérida Initiative. Congress has provided more than
$1.9 billion in Mérida aid since FY2008 to support Mexico’s efforts against
drug trafficking and organized crime. Whereas U.S. assistance initially
focused on training and equipping Mexican counterdrug forces, it now
prioritizes strengthening the rule of law. Along the border, U.S.
policymakers have sought to balance security and commercial concerns. The
U.S. and Mexican governments resolved a long-standing trade dispute in
2011 involving NAFTA trucking provisions and have sought to improve competitiveness
through regulatory cooperation. Bilateral trade surpassed $460 billion in 2011.The
February 2012 signing of a Trans-Boundary Hydrocarbons Agreement for managing
oil resources in the Gulf of Mexico could create new opportunities for
energy cooperation.
Legislative Action
The 112th Congress has maintained an active interest in Mexico. The Obama
Administration asked for $269.5 million in assistance for Mexico in its
FY2013 budget request. The Senate and House Appropriations Committees’
versions of the FY2013 foreign aid measure, S. 3241 and H.R. 5857, each
recommend increases in aid to Mexico, with human rights conditions similar to P.L.
112-74. Congress has held oversight hearings, issued reports, and introduced
legislation on how to bolster the Mérida Initiative and on related U.S.
domestic efforts to combat gun trafficking, money laundering, and drug
demand. A Senate-passed bill, S. 1612, would increase penalties for
transnational drug trafficking.
Violence in northern Mexico has kept border security on the agenda, with P.L.
112-93 increasing penalties for aviation smuggling, and P.L. 112-127
tightening sentencing guidelines for building border tunnels. Another bill
that recently passed both chambers, H.R. 915, provides statutory authority
for the bilateral Border Enforcement Security Task Force (BEST) program. A
House- passed measure, H.R. 1299, would require a new border security
strategy, while another, H.R. 6368, would require a study on cross-border
violence.
Mexico’s recent accession to negotiations for a Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)
trade agreement is likely to generate congressional interest.
Congressional action may be required in order for the Trans-boundary
Hydrocarbons Agreement to take effect. And, as Mexico’s political transition approaches,
Congress is likely to monitor the policy positions taken by the incoming Peña
Nieto administration.
Also see: CRS Report R42548, Mexico’s 2012 Elections, by Clare Ribando
Seelke; CRS Report R41349, U.S.-Mexican Security Cooperation: The
Mérida Initiative and Beyond, by Clare Ribando Seelke and Kristin M.
Finklea; and CRS Report RL32934, U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations:
Trends, Issues, and Implications, by M. Angeles Villarreal.
Date of Report: September 24, 2012
Number of Pages: 45
Order Number: RL32724
Price: $29.95
To Order:
RL32724.pdf
to use the SECURE SHOPPING CART
e-mail congress@pennyhill.com
Phone
301-253-0881
For email and phone orders, provide a Visa, MasterCard, American Express, or Discover card
number, expiration date, and name on the card. Indicate whether you want e-mail
or postal delivery. Phone orders are preferred and receive priority processing.